Challenges in Intelligence Analysis

Part I. Problems and Possible Solutions: 1. The main challenges for intelligence analysis; 2. Attempts to deal with the challenges; Part II. From the Ancient World to Modern Times: 3. Moses sends spies into Canaan; 4. The Athenian campaign in Sicily; 5. Caesar's campaigns in Gaul; 6. Sun Tzu; 7. The Spanish Armada; 8. George Washington; Part III. The First Half of the Twentieth Century: 9. Wilson and the Paris Peace Conference; 10. Estimating the strength of the Luftwaffe in the 1930s; 11. Stalin assesses Hitler; 12. Pearl Harbor; 13. Targets for the Allied bombers; 14. The German V weapon; Part IV. The Cold War: 15. Atomic bomb spies; 16. The outbreak of the Korean War; 17. Counterinsurgency in Malaya; 18. Soviet strategic weapons; 19. The Cuban Missile Crisis; 20. Aspects of the Vietnam War; 21. The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan; 22. Finding spies: Ames and Hanssen; 23. Breakup of the USSR; Part V. Other International Security Issues, Other Places: 24. The Yom Kippur War; 25. Fall of the Shah; 26. Nuclear weapons tests; 27. A. Q. Khan; 28. Iraqi weapons of mass destruction; 29. Violence in Iraq; Part VI. Domestic Law Enforcement: 30. The Lindbergh kidnapping; 31. Breaking the mafia; 32. Airline tragedies: Pan Am Flight 103 and TWA Flight 800; 33. Aum Shinrikyo; 34. Colombian drug cartels; 35. Wen Ho Lee; 36. 9/11; 37. Anthrax attacks; 38. DC snipers; Part VII. Medicine and Business: 39. SARS; 40. New Coke; 41. Japan in the US car market; Appendix A: further recommended reading.